Quart B vs Sarria Ter A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SCO
0 - 3
QUA
26%
22%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
QUA
4 - 2
SAG
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
PON
2 - 2
QUA
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
QUA
3 - 4
FLA
71%
17%
13%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
QUA
3 - 1
SGI
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sarria Ter A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
VIL
68%
18%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SAR
5 - 2
CEL
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SCO
1 - 2
SAR
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 2
SAG
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
PON
2 - 3
SAR
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |