Quart B vs Jafre A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
QUA
4 - 1
PAT
40%
22%
38%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SCO
4 - 2
QUA
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
QUA
5 - 2
SAU
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAC
3 - 3
QUA
60%
19%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
QUA
1 - 1
GUA
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jafre A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
JAF
3 - 3
SAC
39%
23%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
JAF
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
JAF
0 - 2
SAG
47%
22%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
JAF
2 - 2
PON
14%
18%
68%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 1
JAF
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -2 |