Quart B vs Gualta A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SAG
3 - 2
QUA
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
QUA
0 - 6
PON
20%
20%
60%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SPA
4 - 1
QUA
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
QUA
5 - 1
VIL
58%
20%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FLA
4 - 2
QUA
45%
22%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gualta A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAC
34%
22%
44%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SAU
1 - 0
GUA
58%
19%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SAG
3 - 1
GUA
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 4
PON
15%
18%
66%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
7 - 0
GUA
75%
15%
11%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |