Quart B vs Bellcaire 2012 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
JAF
2 - 2
QUA
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 1
QUA
24%
21%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUA
3 - 2
SCO
78%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
QUA
8 - 3
VIL
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 3
QUA
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Bellcaire 2012
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
SAC
59%
20%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAG
1 - 3
BEL
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PON
3 - 1
BEL
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 3
BEL
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 1
BEL
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |