Quart B vs Arbucies CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
QUA
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
QUA
0 - 0
CAG
37%
23%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LLO
1 - 4
QUA
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
QUA
1 - 1
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
HOS
1 - 0
QUA
19%
21%
60%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Arbucies CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ARB
4 - 3
BLA
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
ARB
44%
23%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 2
MAL
20%
21%
60%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BAT
2 - 1
ARB
55%
21%
24%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ARB
4 - 2
PAL
42%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |