Quality Distributors vs Rovers Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
3.3%
6-3
1.1%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
4.9%
5-3
1.9%
6-4
0.5%
7-5
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
6%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.9%
5-4
0.8%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
17.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
14.3%
16.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quality Distributors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 10
QUA
22%
17%
61%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
QUA
1 - 6
GUA
64%
15%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
QUA
3 - 2
PAI
61%
16%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
QUA
9 - 3
SOU
72%
14%
14%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ROV
5 - 0
QUA
45%
19%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rovers Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
ROV
56%
18%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ROV
5 - 2
PAI
46%
19%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 7
ROV
44%
20%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 12
ROV
36%
21%
44%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ROV
5 - 0
QUA
45%
19%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |