Qrendi vs Mtarfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qrendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SIG
1 - 4
QRE
8%
17%
76%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
QRE
6 - 0
VEN
87%
9%
4%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 4
QRE
22%
23%
55%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
QRE
9%
18%
72%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
QRE
5 - 3
PAT
35%
22%
43%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MTA
3 - 0
XGH
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
MTA
4 - 1
SIG
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 3
MTA
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 5
MTA
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MTA
2 - 1
MEL
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |