Qizilqum vs Xorazm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
14º
10º
14
1º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 16 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
DSA
3 - 2
QIZ
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
QOQ
2 - 1
QIZ
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
QIZ
0 - 3
PAK
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
MAS
2 - 2
QIZ
42%
29%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
QIZ
3 - 2
NAV
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Xorazm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
PAK
2 - 1
XOR
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
XOR
4 - 0
SFA
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
XOR
3 - 0
MAS
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
NAV
1 - 0
XOR
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
XOR
1 - 1
NAS
23%
28%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |