Qizilqum vs Pakhtakor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
14º
10º
26
1º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 16 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 1% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
MAS
2 - 2
QIZ
42%
29%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
QIZ
3 - 2
NAV
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
NAS
4 - 0
QIZ
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
FKZ
0 - 3
QIZ
16%
22%
61%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
QIZ
1 - 0
QOQ
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pakhtakor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2025 |
PAK
6 - 3
NAS
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PAK
6 - 0
BUX
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TER
2 - 1
PAK
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PAK
1 - 0
SHO
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
NFA
0 - 9
PAK
6%
12%
83%
|
67 | 9 | 58 | -1 |