Qizilqum vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
11º
11º
41
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKL
0 - 1
QIZ
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKZ
2 - 3
QIZ
16%
21%
63%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
FKO
2 - 1
QIZ
7%
15%
78%
|
63 | 11 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 0
QIZ
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
QIZ
0 - 0
FKL
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 1
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SFA
1 - 5
NEF
6%
14%
80%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 0
DOS
40%
24%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 0
NEF
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 0
MET
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |