Qizilqum vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
QIZ
3 - 2
BUX
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
PAK
2 - 1
QIZ
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +6 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
QIZ
0 - 1
BUN
24%
28%
48%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SOG
1 - 3
QIZ
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -6 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
QIZ
1 - 2
NAS
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
SHO
0 - 2
NEF
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
NEF
0 - 1
BUX
20%
26%
54%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +4 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
NEF
1 - 3
OLM
26%
27%
48%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PAK
3 - 0
NEF
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -5 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NEF
0 - 1
BUN
35%
29%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |