Qizilqum vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
FKL
2 - 0
QIZ
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
OBO
1 - 1
QIZ
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
QIZ
1 - 1
NAS
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
OLM
0 - 0
QIZ
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
QIZ
1 - 1
SOG
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2017 |
NEF
1 - 0
OBO
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAS
2 - 0
NEF
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
NEF
1 - 1
OLM
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SOG
0 - 1
NEF
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
NEF
1 - 2
BUN
47%
29%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |