Qizilqum vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
FKL
5 - 0
QIZ
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
QIZ
0 - 3
PAK
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
AND
2 - 3
QIZ
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
QIZ
1 - 0
MAS
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
BUX
1 - 0
QIZ
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
NEF
3 - 0
SOJ
67%
18%
15%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 1
NEF
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
NEF
4 - 1
DSA
73%
16%
11%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
NAS
3 - 1
NEF
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
MAS
0 - 1
NEF
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |