Qizilqum vs Navbahor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
BUX
3 - 1
QIZ
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
QIZ
0 - 11
PAK
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SAR
4 - 1
QIZ
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
QIZ
0 - 2
BUN
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
NAS
5 - 2
QIZ
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
NAV
1 - 0
DSA
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
NAV
2 - 1
SHO
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
BUX
1 - 0
NAV
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
NAV
1 - 2
PAK
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SAR
2 - 0
NAV
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |