Qizilqum vs Mash' al analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
TER
2 - 1
QIZ
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
QIZ
0 - 2
NEF
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
FKL
5 - 0
QIZ
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
QIZ
0 - 3
PAK
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
AND
2 - 3
QIZ
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mash' al
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
MAS
4 - 3
NAS
46%
25%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SOJ
1 - 3
MAS
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
MAS
3 - 2
TTA
43%
25%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
DSA
1 - 0
MAS
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
MAS
2 - 1
BUX
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |