Qizilqum vs Bunyodkor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
11º
11º
30
10º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 4
ORO
71%
17%
11%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
URA
1 - 0
QIZ
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
MAS
1 - 3
QIZ
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
QIZ
1 - 0
OLM
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 0
QIZ
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bunyodkor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
BUN
2 - 1
FCQ
82%
13%
6%
|
61 | 12 | 49 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
PAK
1 - 0
BUN
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BUN
1 - 1
FKO
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
BUN
40%
27%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BUN
0 - 3
NEF
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |