Qizilqum vs Bunyodkor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
12º
37
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 0
QIZ
40%
29%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
QIZ
3 - 0
FKZ
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
QIZ
1 - 1
NEF
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
AND
2 - 0
QIZ
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
QIZ
0 - 2
FKL
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bunyodkor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
BUN
1 - 2
PAK
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
URF
0 - 0
BUN
6%
12%
83%
|
67 | 18 | 49 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
BUN
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
BUN
1 - 5
NAV
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 0
BUN
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |