Qingdao Hainiu vs Shenzhen Peng City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
9º
16º
14º
29
8º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 2
HEN
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
4 - 3
QIN
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
QIN
4 - 2
MEI
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 0
QIN
80%
15%
6%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 2
NAN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 3
CBC
19%
25%
56%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WFC
4 - 1
SJF
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 0
BEI
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
2 - 1
CHA
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 0
SHA
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |