Qingdao Hainiu vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
15º
13º
31
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
GFC
2 - 2
QIN
16%
25%
59%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
QIN
2 - 0
SHE
72%
20%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
HUB
1 - 7
QIN
15%
22%
64%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
QIN
1 - 1
QYI
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
BIT
0 - 2
QIN
12%
21%
66%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SHI
2 - 1
HAN
19%
24%
57%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 1
HEN
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
QYI
2 - 1
SHI
28%
21%
51%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
MEI
2 - 3
SHI
43%
24%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 1
SHA
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |