Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
9º
16º
14º
77
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
QIN
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 1
WFC
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
QIN
1 - 0
SJF
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 2
HEN
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
4 - 3
QIN
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
SHA
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
TIT
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 1
POH
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 4
SHA
35%
27%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
BEI
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |