Qingdao Hainiu vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
60.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
16º
16º
34
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 65 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 51 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 38 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 6% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
88.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
YUN
1 - 0
QIN
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
QIN
1 - 1
DAL
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
TIT
1 - 0
QIN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
QIN
0 - 1
SJF
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
QIN
2 - 2
QYI
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CBC
2 - 0
DAL
72%
20%
8%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
0 - 3
CBC
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BEI
1 - 1
CBC
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CBC
1 - 2
TIT
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CBC
1 - 0
WFC
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |