Qingdao Hainiu vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
16º
16º
8
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 65 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 51 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 38 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation
|
88.5% | 56.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
SHA
1 - 1
QIN
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
QIN
1 - 1
MEI
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
HEN
3 - 1
QIN
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SHA
3 - 2
QIN
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
QIN
0 - 1
CBC
15%
24%
61%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
HAN
4 - 2
CHA
64%
20%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 2
CBC
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
YUN
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
SJF
3 - 1
CHA
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
MEI
1 - 3
CHA
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |