Qarabağ vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
ZIM
1 - 1
QAR
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
QAR
2 - 1
KAR
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2006 |
SUM
0 - 2
QAR
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
QAR
2 - 1
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
FCK
1 - 2
QAR
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
3 - 4
ZIM
24%
29%
47%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2006 |
ZIM
4 - 0
TIT
69%
20%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
ZIM
1 - 1
QAR
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
DAC
1 - 1
ZIM
32%
30%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2006 |
ZIM
1 - 1
ISK
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |