Qarabağ vs Turan-T analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
89
1º
2º
1º
55
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
QAR
2 - 3
STB
45%
23%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
QAR
3 - 2
SHA
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 0
ARA
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
QAR
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
QAR
5 - 0
SUM
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FCK
5 - 2
TUR
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
TUR
0 - 2
PAK
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
GLO
2 - 0
TUR
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 1
FKN
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ZIR
0 - 0
TUR
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |