Qarabağ vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
QAR
1 - 1
SFK
71%
21%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FKQ
1 - 3
QAR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
VOR
0 - 1
QAR
52%
27%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
QAR
2 - 0
SUM
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
SHA
1 - 1
QAR
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LUS
1 - 4
SCP
5%
12%
83%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 0
SCP
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
SCP
17%
21%
62%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 2
EST
63%
23%
15%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |