UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 7-0
Qarabağ vs Lincoln Red Imps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
LRI
0 - 2
QAR
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 5
QAR
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
QAR
32%
23%
45%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
QAR
1 - 3
KAI
41%
23%
37%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 2
QAR
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
LRI
0 - 2
QAR
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
LRI
0 - 1
HAM
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 1
LRI
30%
22%
48%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
JOS
1 - 1
LRI
40%
23%
36%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 3
LRI
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |