Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 4-2
Qarabağ vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
0 - 1
ZIR
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
RAK
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
RAK
3 - 2
QAR
54%
22%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
QAR
4 - 0
LRI
46%
22%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
LRI
1 - 2
QAR
49%
22%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HJK
4 - 2
IFK
74%
18%
8%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
MFK
2 - 0
HJK
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SEI
1 - 2
HJK
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
MFK
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HJK
1 - 0
ILV
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |