Qarabağ vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
83
1º
6º
1º
26
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SFK
3 - 2
QAR
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
QAR
4 - 2
SEB
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 4
QAR
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 6
QAR
22%
24%
54%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 3
QAR
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKQ
1 - 2
TUR
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ZIR
4 - 0
FKQ
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 1
FKQ
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 1
FKN
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
FKQ
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |