Qarabağ vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
89
1º
2º
1º
43
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 1
SEB
62%
21%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 3
QAR
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
QAR
0 - 2
DZG
28%
24%
49%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
QAR
0 - 1
TUR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 0
QAR
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 0
FKN
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
FKN
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 1
FKN
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 2
SFK
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SEB
1 - 1
FKN
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |