Qarabağ vs Neftçi analysis

Qarabağ Neftçi
73 ELO 73
9.9% Tilt 1.4%
1450º General ELO ranking 1471º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.8%
Qarabağ
25.5%
Draw
23.7%
Neftçi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
Qarabağ
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.7%
Win probability
Neftçi
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Qarabağ
+42%
+4%
Neftçi

Points and table prediction

Qarabağ
Their league position
Neftçi
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
68
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Qarabağ
90
90
100%
Sabah
81
81
100%
Neftçi
68
68
100%
Gabala FK
50
50
0%
Zira FK
50
50
0%
Turan-T
39
39
100%
FC Kapaz
31
31
100%
Sumgayit
31
31
100%
FK Sabail
29
29
100%
Shamakhi
10º
25
25
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Qarabağ
Neftçi
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
100% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Qarabağ
Neftçi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Qarabağ
Qarabağ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2023
GEN
KAA Gent
1 - 0
Qarabağ
QAR
60%
22%
18%
74 81 7 0
19 Feb. 2023
ZIR
Zira FK
0 - 1
Qarabağ
QAR
40%
27%
33%
73 73 0 +1
16 Feb. 2023
QAR
Qarabağ
1 - 0
KAA Gent
GEN
35%
25%
41%
73 81 8 0
11 Feb. 2023
QAR
Qarabağ
1 - 1
Sabah
SFK
48%
25%
27%
73 73 0 0
04 Feb. 2023
FCK
FC Kapaz
1 - 1
Qarabağ
QAR
11%
21%
68%
73 53 20 0

Matches

Neftçi
Neftçi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2023
FKN
Neftçi
3 - 0
FK Sabail
SEB
71%
18%
11%
73 60 13 0
10 Feb. 2023
FKQ
Gabala FK
0 - 0
Neftçi
FKN
44%
28%
28%
73 73 0 0
05 Feb. 2023
FKN
Neftçi
2 - 0
Sumgayit
SUM
71%
19%
10%
73 62 11 0
01 Feb. 2023
FKN
Neftçi
1 - 0
Zira FK
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
73 73 0 0
26 Jan. 2023
SFK
Sabah
2 - 0
Neftçi
FKN
49%
26%
25%
73 73 0 0