Qarabağ vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
QAR
0 - 0
MFK
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
SHA
0 - 0
QAR
22%
26%
53%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
QAR
2 - 1
SHF
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
QAR
2 - 0
SFK
78%
17%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
QAR
4 - 0
SIL
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
FKN
1 - 3
GAL
39%
24%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
FKN
0 - 2
SUM
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
FKN
2 - 1
SHK
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
FKN
2 - 1
SEB
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FKN
4 - 0
SFK
84%
13%
4%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | -1 |