Qarabağ vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
29%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
QAR
0 - 0
FKQ
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FKB
1 - 2
QAR
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKQ
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FKQ
2 - 2
QAR
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
QAR
1 - 0
KHA
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
FKN
1 - 1
FCK
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FKN
1 - 1
KHA
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SHA
1 - 2
FKN
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FCK
1 - 2
FKN
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FKQ
4 - 1
FKN
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |