Qarabağ vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
QAR
2 - 1
AZA
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SHA
3 - 2
QAR
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
FKQ
0 - 0
QAR
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
QAR
1 - 1
KHA
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
KAR
4 - 1
QAR
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
FKQ
1 - 0
FKN
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
FKN
0 - 1
SIM
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SSU
1 - 2
FKN
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FKN
0 - 2
MUG
75%
18%
8%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FKN
2 - 0
TUR
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |