UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 4-2
Qarabağ vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 2
QAR
63%
21%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 2
ZUR
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
QAR
5 - 1
LPO
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 0
QAR
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
CSU
1 - 1
QAR
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FTC
1 - 0
PUS
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
SBR
1 - 4
FTC
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
FTC
1 - 2
SBR
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
FTC
5 - 1
TOB
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
TOB
0 - 0
FTC
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |