Qarabağ vs FC Kapaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
2º
1º
31
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
QAR
1 - 1
SCF
17%
20%
63%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 4
QAR
19%
26%
55%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
NAN
2 - 1
QAR
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 0
TUR
77%
16%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
SUM
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
3 - 0
SEB
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 1
FCK
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 2
FKN
9%
22%
69%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
5 - 0
FCK
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 0
FCK
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |