Jenlai vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jenlai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
PRI
2 - 3
QES
32%
22%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
QES
0 - 7
LUS
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 0
QES
45%
22%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
QES
2 - 3
FCS
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
UEE
11 - 1
QES
68%
17%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 7
UEE
23%
21%
56%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PRI
0 - 5
PEN
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
FCR
2 - 1
PEN
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 7
LUS
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
UEE
6 - 0
PEN
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |