Jenlai vs Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jenlai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
UEE
2 - 1
QES
69%
16%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
QES
0 - 5
FCE
59%
20%
21%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
UES
7 - 2
QES
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
QES
1 - 4
FCO
53%
21%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SJU
9 - 0
QES
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 2
SCO
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
UEE
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FCE
1 - 2
LUS
17%
21%
63%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 2
UES
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FCO
1 - 2
LUS
20%
24%
57%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |