Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-2
Pyunik vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
TOB
2 - 1
PYU
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 2
PYU
43%
24%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
PYU
1 - 0
VAR
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SHI
0 - 3
PYU
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PYU
0 - 0
ALA
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
KAI
1 - 0
TOB
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
TOB
2 - 1
PYU
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
TOB
1 - 1
FCI
54%
25%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
TOB
2 - 0
SAM
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
KAI
2 - 2
TOB
35%
30%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |