UCL Qualifying Preliminary Round Final
Global 4-2
Pyunik vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
PYU
3 - 2
MIK
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 2
PYU
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
PYU
3 - 1
GAN
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PYU
1 - 2
BAN
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SHI
0 - 2
PYU
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 1
FIO
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 1
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
5 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |