UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 1-4
Pyunik vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
PYU
1 - 1
POB
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
POB
1 - 3
PYU
43%
23%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
PYU
7 - 2
KIL
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 3
PYU
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
PYU
3 - 0
DYE
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
DNI
1 - 3
SHA
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2004 |
SHA
1 - 0
CHO
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
DYN
0 - 2
SHA
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
DYN
1 - 1
SHA
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
SHA
5 - 0
MEZ
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |