UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 0-3
Pyunik vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
PYU
2 - 0
ARA
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
KRR
1 - 1
PYU
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
DYE
0 - 4
PYU
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
PYU
1 - 0
KRR
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2003 |
PYU
4 - 1
KOT
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
CSK
5 - 2
CHE
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LOV
1 - 0
CSK
58%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CSK
2 - 0
BOT
79%
14%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
LSO
1 - 1
CSK
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
CSK
3 - 1
SSO
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |