UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 0-7
Pyunik vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
CRV
5 - 0
PYU
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PYU
0 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
F91
1 - 4
PYU
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
PYU
0 - 1
F91
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CLU
2 - 2
PYU
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
CRV
5 - 0
PYU
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
CRV
6 - 0
RAD
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MLA
1 - 2
CRV
19%
22%
60%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CRV
5 - 0
KOL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CRV
4 - 0
RAD
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |