Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 1-6
Pyunik vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pyunik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ULI
2 - 1
PYU
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PYU
0 - 1
BAN
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
PYU
2 - 1
GAN
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ALA
5 - 1
PYU
32%
27%
40%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 1
PYU
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 1
AST
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
AST
5 - 3
FCI
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
AST
4 - 0
TOB
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
TOB
1 - 1
AST
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
AST
2 - 2
KAI
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |