PVV vs Notch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
SNL
1 - 0
PVV
29%
22%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
JRA
1 - 3
PVV
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
PVV
3 - 0
VIC
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +4 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
PVV
1 - 2
TRA
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
INT
4 - 0
PVV
75%
15%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
NOT
1 - 0
TRA
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
NOT
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
NOT
1 - 3
NIS
52%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 1
BOT
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
VIC
2 - 0
NOT
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |