Puyal vs Alera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
16.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UNC
1 - 1
PUY
44%
20%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LUN
2 - 2
PUY
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PUY
0 - 2
SAN
52%
20%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DEP
3 - 0
PUY
68%
17%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 2
PUY
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 4
LUN
21%
19%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
ALE
66%
17%
17%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 3
DEP
13%
16%
71%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BIO
9 - 2
ALE
68%
16%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALE
3 - 1
PIN
9%
13%
78%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +3 |