Puszcza Niepolomice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puszcza Niepolomice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 1
PUS
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
PUS
1 - 2
CHO
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
GKS
1 - 0
PUS
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
PUS
2 - 0
BRZ
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
WIS
2 - 3
PUS
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
WIS
1 - 1
JAG
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
GDA
2 - 0
JAG
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SLA
2 - 3
JAG
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ZAW
0 - 1
JAG
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
JAG
1 - 0
RCH
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +2 |