Purullena CF vs Otura CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+424%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purullena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VDP
1 - 0
PUR
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PUR
5 - 0
PDL
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDA
2 - 1
PUR
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
5 - 2
PUR
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PUR
5 - 2
CDD
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Otura CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OTU
1 - 1
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CDD
1 - 2
OTU
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
OTU
0 - 1
ALM
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALF
4 - 3
OTU
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OTU
4 - 1
ALH
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |