Purullena CF vs Alfacar UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+377%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purullena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PUR
3 - 0
OTU
58%
21%
21%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 1
PUR
60%
20%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PUR
0 - 2
CEL
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
PUR
52%
23%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PUR
0 - 0
CHU
53%
23%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 6
CDC
33%
23%
44%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CEL
6 - 1
ALF
54%
21%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHU
3 - 0
ALF
34%
25%
41%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALF
4 - 2
BAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |