Purbach vs Sigleß analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
STI
0 - 1
PUR
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
PUR
3 - 1
FCW
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SCB
1 - 1
PUR
21%
22%
57%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
PUR
2 - 2
HOR
32%
23%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
NEU
3 - 0
PUR
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sigleß
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SIG
2 - 0
GUS
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
SIG
3 - 1
PAR
26%
23%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
STI
2 - 0
SIG
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
SIG
4 - 1
FCW
55%
22%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SCB
1 - 0
SIG
36%
24%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |