Purbach vs Neusiedl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
STM
0 - 4
PUR
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PUR
1 - 0
BAU
53%
23%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
KLI
1 - 1
PUR
57%
22%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
PUR
0 - 0
MAR
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JEN
1 - 4
PUR
54%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Neusiedl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 0
GUS
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SIG
1 - 2
NEU
13%
19%
68%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 0
STI
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCW
1 - 3
NEU
10%
17%
73%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
NEU
3 - 0
SCB
89%
8%
3%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |